Predicting the Consequences of an Emergency at a Railway Station

Abstract

Purpose. The paper considers the problem of determining the size of the damage zones in the event of an emergency at a railway station due to a tanker fire. The task of forecasting is to determine the zones of thermal pollution, as well as chemical and mechanical pollution. The main objective of the study is to create numerical models for calculating the zones of mechanical and thermal pollution in the event of a fire at a railway station. Methodology. To analyze the size and intensity of zones of thermal, chemical, and mechanical environmental pollution in the event of an extreme situation at a railway station, we used the equations of heat and mass transfer and Newton's second law for modeling mechanical environmental pollution. To solve the equations, numerical methods such as Euler's method and finite difference schemes were used. On the basis of the developed numerical models, a computer code was created to conduct a computational experiment. Findings. Modern computer models for assessing the zones of chemical, thermal, and mechanical pollution in the event of an extreme situation have been developed. The results of computer modeling are presented. Originality. A set of numerical models for computer simulation of heat and mass transfer processes and dynamics of point motion has been created, which allows conducting a computational experiment to determine the contamination zones during a fire at a railway station. Practical value. A computer code was developed on the basis of the created mathematical models. This code is a tool for solving important problems in the field of environmental safety and civil protection. The computer code makes it possible to quickly determine the intensity and size of environmental pollution zones in the event of an extreme situation.